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- The widespread financial exclusion in Africa despite the continent’s high adoption of financial technology (Fintech) suggests that there is a gap between Fintech’s adoption and its actual usefulness. This study seeks to measure Fintech’s usefulness, its growth and identify its determinants in a panel of three emerging, twenty-four frontiers and five fragile African markets for the period 2004–2018. A dummy variable interactive equation was modelled based on theory to account for heterogeneity between groups. Results from the system Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) estimation technique reveal that on average, Fintech usefulness in Africa is a dynamic heterogeneous process. Income per person, level of financial development, Fintechs’ compatibility with users’ experiences, users’ risk perception, inflation rate and financial-openness were the main determinants of its usefulness. Its rapid growth after the 2009 financial crisis suggests that greater Fintech usefulness can mitigate financial crisis among Africa markets. In particular, the growth of Mobile-banking, ATM and Internet-banking as at 2018 are on average 41.8%, 0.4%, and 20.8% respectively greater than its average in the base year 2004. The study concludes that Fintech’s usefulness is driven by economic, financial and psychological factors; therefore, structural transformation, financial development and improved literacy were recommended.
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- The extent of financial exclusion in Africa drives the adoption of fintech across the continent, but the disruption it can cause hinders progress. This study therefore assesses both the probability and actual rates of fintech adoption in 32 African economies between 2002 and 2018. Based on the information spill-over and rank theories, multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that the average probability of fintech adoption for all, emerging and frontier African economies to be 50.9%, 83.1%,and 23.1%, respectively, whereas the actual rates are 27%, 40%, and 29%, respectively. The fragile economies, however, had no reasonable probability or actual rates of fintech adoption. Further, odds ratios of 1 or more- suggest a one-unit change in the predicators will exert no impact on these rates. Thus, it is concluded that emerging economies and mobile phone banking drive fintech adoption in Africa, and is largely dependent mainly on structural changes rather than economic and financial factors. The current study consequently recommends improved literacy, ICT training, and structural changes to promote fintech across the continent.
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- The disruptive impact of financial technology (fintech) on banks and the entire macroeconomic condition motivated this study. We investigate fintechs‘ dynamic impact on macroeconomic stability and their policy response in a panel of five emerging African economies for the period 2002-2018. The principal component analytical (PCA) technique revealed that instability among emerging Africa is more susceptible to fiscal and trade deficits with Nigeria and Algeria being the worst hit. Moreover, the forecast error variance decomposition and impulse response of the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) estimation technique found that variability in macroeconomic instability were more susceptible to shocks from automated teller machine (ATM) adoption. Under the assumption of fixed exchange rate regime with perfect/relative capital mobility, fiscal policy was effective to restore a steady state when contemporaneous shocks from fintech threatens the economy both in the short and long-run. Although monetary policy was explosive in the short-run, it becomes effective to fintech shock in the long-run under a freely floating exchange rate assumption. The study therefore recommends a fiscal-monetary policy mix under a float-managed exchange rate system with relative capital mobility when contemporaneous shocks from fintech hit the economy.
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- The poor use of innovations for financial service delivery among African banks has limited the extent of financial development in the continent. Consequently, financial authorities seeks for a technology-enabled financial solution; an area not well covered in literature. This study therefore, examines the determinants of financial development in a panel of thirty-one heterogeneous African markets for the period 2002–2019 with emphasis on financial technology (Fintech). The liquidity-preference and credit-creation theories were used to model a dummy variable interactive equation to capture possible heterogeneities. The study hypothesized that Fintech transmits directly to financial development among emerging Africa but indirectly through bank-efficiency and financial inclusion among the frontier and fragile groups, respectively. Results from both the dynamic system GMM and the static techniques support this hypothesis with significant heterogeneities in both the intercept and slope coefficients of Fintech among the various groups. The study concludes that on average, emerging African markets report higher financial depth than the frontier and fragile groups; however, with higher slopes, they can converge with emerging markets’ in the long-run through Fintech adoption. The study recommends the collaboration of Fintech with banks, improved bank efficiency and financial inclusion as panaceas to promote financial development in Africa.
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